Guide

Reading a Base X-ray: Every Base a Stock Ever Built, Measured

A single chart pattern is an anecdote. Two years of a stock's bases — each measured the same way, with its outcome attached — is evidence. That's what the Base X-ray is for.

Education, not advice. This explains a concept for learning — it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Patterns fail often.

What counts as a base

DataQuant defines a base mechanically: a consolidation of at least two weeks, no more than 35% deep, sitting beneath a swing-high pivot — the ceiling price must clear to resolve the pattern. Wicks that poke above the pivot don't end a base (they get counted, as you'll see); only a close above the pivot resolves it as a breakout. And once a trade's stop is breached, that episode is over — any later signal starts a fresh base with a fresh entry, so old failures never haunt new setups.

The lifecycle

Every base on the X-ray is in one of two states: forming (still building under its pivot — at most the newest base can be forming) or broke out, with the outcome attached: the breakout date, the volume ratio on the breakout day, and how far the stock ran afterward.

The card metrics, one sentence each

Pivot. The base's ceiling — the price that turns a pause into a breakout when cleared on volume.
Depth & duration. How far price pulled back inside the base, and how many weeks it spent there — "5 wks · 9% deep" reads at a glance.
Coil ratio. The range of the base's second half divided by its first half — below 1.0 the swings are tightening into the pivot, the volatility contraction that precedes strong breakouts.
Volume dry-up. Base volume versus the volume before the base — below 1.0 means sellers are running out while price holds.
Up ÷ down volume. Volume on up days divided by volume on down days inside the base — the accumulation tell; strong bases often run 2× or better.
Failed pokes. Bars that wicked to within 0.5% of the pivot but closed more than 1% below it — each one is a seller defending the ceiling; 0 is clean, 2+ means supply overhead.
Blue sky. The pivot sits within 2% of the 52-week high — a breakout clears every holder from the past year, leaving no trapped sellers overhead.

Why measure every base, not just the current one

A single setup, however pretty, is an anecdote. Two years of a stock's bases — detected by one rule, measured with one yardstick, each with its outcome attached — is evidence about how this particular stock behaves. Some names habitually build clean, tight bases and follow through; others poke, fail, and churn. The X-ray also reveals the classic base-on-base structure: a stock that breaks out, runs, then calmly builds its next base higher is showing you institutional accumulation in successive installments. And because a breached stop formally ends each episode, the analysis stays honest — a base that failed is recorded as a failure, never quietly absorbed into the next attempt's history.

Two real X-rays

SEIC is a study in how bases compound. Its X-ray shows a marathon 49.2-week base, 20% deep, under a $93.82 pivot — which broke out and ran +18%. The stock then built a 26.2-week base and ran +27.8% from it. Later, higher up, came the payoff of all that structure: a tight 3.2-week base just 4.5% deep under $68.14 (post-split prices) that broke out and ran +62.5%. Long bases build the launch pad; short, tight, late-stage bases deliver the sharpest moves.

CRON shows what a decisive release looks like: a 7.6-week base, 14.4% deep, that broke out on 14× average volume and ran +22.7%. When a quiet base ends that loudly, the volume is the confirmation.

Reading it like a trader

Look for the sequence, not a single card: a leader (high RS) whose successive bases get tighter (coil below 1), quieter (dry-up below 1), and cleaner (few failed pokes), forming at or near blue-sky territory. That stack of evidence is what the VCP looks like when you can see two years of it at once.

Frequently asked questions

What qualifies as a base on the X-ray?

A consolidation of at least two weeks, at most 35% deep, beneath a swing-high pivot. Intraday wicks above the pivot don't resolve it — only a close above the pivot turns a base into a breakout.

What is a failed poke?

A bar whose high reached within 0.5% of the pivot but closed more than 1% below it. Each failed poke is a seller defending the level; two or more inside a base signals supply overhead.

Why do long bases matter?

The longer a stock consolidates, the more impatient holders leave and the less overhead supply remains. SEIC's X-ray shows the pattern: a 49-week base broke out and ran +18%, and the structure it built eventually supported a 3.2-week base that ran +62.5%.

What does 'blue sky' mean on a base card?

The base's pivot sits within 2% of the 52-week high, so a breakout clears essentially every holder from the past year — nobody is waiting above to sell at break-even.

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